Retail industry suffered negative growth, the economy is still good for Hongkong this year-adobe gamma

The retail industry suffered negative growth in institutions that Hongkong’s economy is still good Sina Finance client this year: the most profitable investors have a negative growth of 3.7% in Hong Kong level2 market through 2015 Hongkong retail institutions cards. Some agencies believe that this trend will continue in Hongkong retail industry this year. However, under the pull of infrastructure and other industries, Hongkong’s economy will continue to perform better this year. The retail industry suffered a negative growth. As one of the economic pillar industries, the retail industry in Hongkong has maintained rapid growth, but the retail industry in Hongkong has shrunk significantly in 2015. According to the statistics of the government of Hongkong, the total retail sales in December 2015 amounted to about HK $43 billion 700 million, falling for 10 consecutive months, a significant decrease of 8.5% compared to December 2014; retail sales in 2015 amounted to HK $475 billion 200 million, down 3.7% from 2014. The spokesman for the census and Statistics Department of Hongkong points out that the retail sales prospects of Hongkong will continue to be subject to the weak performance of inbound tourism in the short term. The Hongkong government will pay close attention to the negative impact of peripheral factors such as the recent capital market volatility, global economic outlook and the normalization of U.S. interest rates on consumer willingness, and will continue to pay attention to the impact of Hongkong’s retail performance on the overall economy and the employment market. Hongkong’s economy maintained good growth in 2015 due to the growth of infrastructure, finance and other industries. University of Hong Kong released at the beginning of the January report shows that in the fourth quarter of 2015, Hongkong economy grew 2%, 2.4% growth in 2015. Among them, in the fourth quarter of 2015, Hongkong’s private consumption expenditure increased by 3.1%, the government spending on consumption increased by 3%, but the export of goods decreased by 3.5%, and the total investment decreased by 4.9%. Hongkong’s unemployment rate remains at 3.3% level, still in an ideal state. The overall economic performance is good, from the point of view of the major agencies, Hongkong’s economy will still have good performance in 2016. University of Hong Kong released a report that in the first quarter of 2016, private consumption expenditure and government expenditure on economic growth will increase by 2.8% to 3%, but exports and investment will continue to decline, with a drop of 4.9% and 5.1% respectively. In the first quarter of 2016, Hongkong’s economy grew by 1.8% in real terms, and its economic growth rate in 2016 would be lower than 2%, lower than in 2015. Huang Yongshi, senior economist at Hang Seng Bank, said that earlier this year, the international crude oil producers failed to reach a consensus on the issue of production reduction, and the stock market, especially the stock market in China, was in turmoil, and the overseas financial markets were in turmoil. But if oil prices fall due to changes in supply, Hongkong will not only promote economic growth, but also reduce inflationary pressures. On the other hand, the volatility of the financial market may lead to a weakening of the business climate and consumer confidence, which has overshadowed the economic outlook of Hongkong. In view of the fact that there is a great uncertainty in the external environment, the January economic growth in 2016 may imply the tempestuous waves or will be inferior to 2015. The bank’s forecast for Hongkong’s economic growth in 2016 is 2.4%, and the risk of economic downturn has increased. Citigroup Report

零售业遭遇负增长 机构认为今年香港经济仍向好 新浪财经客户端:最赚钱的投资者都在用 港股level2行情 翻看机构底牌   2015年香港零售业出现3.7%的负增长。部分机构认为,今年香港零售业这一趋势仍会延续。不过,在基建等行业的拉动下,香港经济今年仍会有较好表现。   零售业遭遇负增长   此前,作为经济支柱产业之一的香港零售业一直保持较快的增长,但2015年香港零售业明显萎缩。   香港政府统计处数据显示,2015年12月零售业销售总额约为437亿港元,连续10个月下跌,较2014年12月大幅减少8.5%;2015年零售业销售总额为4752亿港元,较2014年下跌3.7%。香港统计处发言人指出,香港零售业销售前景短期内仍会受制于访港旅游业的疲弱表现。香港政府将密切关注近期资本市场的波动、全球经济前景和美国利率正常化等外围因素对消费意愿的负面影响,也将继续留意香港零售业的表现对整体经济和就业市场的影响。   由于基建、金融等行业的增长,2015年香港经济仍保持较好增长态势。香港大学1月初发布的报告显示,2015年四季度香港经济实际同比增长2%,2015年增长2.4%。其中,2015年第四季度香港私人消费开支增长3.1%,政府消费开支增长3%,但货品出口下降3.5%,投资总额下降4.9%。香港失业率则保持在3.3%水平,仍处于较理想状态。   经济表现总体向好   从各大机构观点看,2016年香港经济仍会有较好表现。香港大学发布报告认为,2016年第一季度,拉动经济增长的私人消费开支和政府消费开支仍将增长2.8%至3%,但货品出口和投资仍会下降,两者的降幅分别为4.9%和5.1%。2016年第一季度香港经济实际增长1.8%,2016年经济增速将低于2%,比2015年低。   恒生银行高级经济师黄咏诗认为,今年年初,国际原油生产国未能就减产问题达成共识,加上股票市场特别是中国内地股票市场出现震荡,海外金融市场表现异常动荡。但油价若因供应变化而下挫则利好香港,不但可推动经济增长,亦可减少通胀压力。另一方面,金融市场大幅波动,则可能使商业景气及消费信心转弱,因而令香港经济前景蒙上阴影。鉴于外围环境存在极大的不确定性,1月的惊涛骇浪可能暗示2016年的经济增长或会逊于2015年。该行当前对香港2016年全年经济增长预测为2.4%,经济下行风险有所增加。   花旗集团报告则预期2016年香港经济增长2%,略低于2015年预测数字2.5%。除内地因素外,全球贸易活动温和复苏以及入境旅客增长减慢,都对香港经济构成压力。整体而言,今年各行各业都会遇到挑战。香港零售业及酒店业经营环境承压,会推高失业率,预期会由2015年的3.3%增加至3.7%。不过,香港大型基础设施建设将继续推进,经济不至于大幅滑落。 进入【新浪财经股吧】讨论相关的主题文章: